Daily Fantasy NBA News and Injury Updates from DFSR for 12/10/17

***Updated for the 7PM Main slate***

What We Know

Jameer NelsonJameer Nelson has been ruled out for the Pelicans.
Nelson will miss the game against the Sixers tonight with an ankle issue. Rajon Rondo will return to action following a rest day on Friday, while Anthony Davis, who passed his 25 minute restriction on Friday with 30 by the end of the night, will have no restriction tonight.

Dennis Smith Jr.Dennis Smith Jr. will miss a second straight contest as the Mavericks head to Minnesota.
Smith is dealing with a hip strain, and was questionable heading into Friday’s tilt with the Bucks, before the team ultimately ruled him out of that game and tonight’s contest with the Wolves. JJ Barea, Devin Harris and Yogi Ferrell were all likely candidates to see a bump in workload with Smith sidelined, but none lit the world on fire with their performances on Friday.

Robert CovingtonRobert Covington and T.J. McConnell are both out for the Sixers trip to New Orleans.
Covington fell into the stands in the fourth quarter of last night’s loss to the Cavaliers, and bruised his back in the process. The team will rest him on the tail end off the back to back as they play the Pelicans tonight. McConnell has missed four of the last five games with a shoulder injury and will be sidelined once again tonight. Jerryd Bayless has seen extended time in McConnells absence but hasn’t done much with it, though if with both RoCo and T.J. out, that could add to his playing time, while Timothy Luwawu-Cabarot will start in Covington’s spot. In positive Sixers news, Joel Embiid, who was rested last night, will play the tail end of the B2B set tonight.

Nikola JokicNikola Jokic remains out for the Nuggets.
The Joker will miss game number five with a sprained left ankle, Mason Plumlee and Kenneth Faried will continue to absorb the bulk of Jokic’s minutes.

Willie Cauley-SteinWillie Cauley-Stein will not rejoin the Kings when they host the Raptors today.
WCS was held back from the Kings recent two game road trip with a lower back strain, and is apparently still nursing the injury. Look for the Kings to keep Zach Randolph at the center spot with JaKarr Sampson starting once again at power forward with Cauley-Stein out for a third straight. He’ll be joined on the bench by George Hill, who will miss for personal reasons.

Marcus MorrisMarcus Morris is out against the Pistons.
The Celtics have been monitoring Morris’ knee all season after he missed several games early on due to strain, and will hold him out once again, likely leading to Jayson Tatum seeing some extended playing time.

What We’re Waiting to Know

Darren CollisonDarren Collison, Lance Stephenson, Thad Young, and Bojan Bogdanovic are all questionable for the Pacers.
This is the sticky wicket of the day. This game is the last one on the early set, and has the most question marks hanging around it. Whether or not we get news in time will definitely impact the way we lay out our early lineups, as the game has the highest point total projection, and fastest pace of play in the trio of early afternoon contests. The Pacers walked away from their game on Friday against the Cavaliers with a win, but possibly at a cost. Collison was held back in the fourth quarter Friday with soreness in the knee he has been nursing all season long. Young, Bogdanovic, and Stephenson all also are dealing with assorted ailments following Fridays win. Depending on who plays and who sits, T.J. Leaf, Cory Joseph, Joe Young, and Al Jefferson, could all be in line for more minutes for this afternoons game with the Nuggets. Hopefully we get more word on the situation before lock.

Every Lineup Guys

EARLY
Victor OladipoVictor Oladipo FD – $9600 DK – $9000
Opponent – DEN
Proj Pts FD – 43.66 DK – 43.68
As we await word on the number of questionable plays the Pacers may have unavailable for this afternoon’s contest with the Nuggets, we know Victor Oladipo is available and ready to go, and on the early set of games he is appearing everywhere in our system for the early slate. ‘Dipo has been playing a whole different game since his knee held him out of a game against the Celtics a couple of weeks back. James broke down the specifics of his stats in the picks article, so I won’t retread that info. Oladipo’s price has been steadily on the rise, but there is still room for it to climb if he’s going to continue playing at the current level. In six games back from that missed game, he has paid 5X or better at these current prices four times. Today he plays in the early game with the highest projected total, and may be one of the only starters the Pacers have available so he should have no problem pushing the minutes to the max. In the early slate I think you definitely want to make sure you have exposure to Oladipo in cash games.

MAIN
Ben SimmonsBen Simmons FD – $10300 DK – $10100
Opponent – NO
Proj Pts FD – 53.17 DK – 53.9
The main slate of three night cap games begins with two 7ET tip-offs, one of which sees Ben Simmons and the Sixers heading to the Bayou to visit the Pelicans. Simmons is showing himself to be a exceptional young talent in his rookie campaign with superstar potential, and is very exciting to watch, He’ll have Embiid back on the court with him tonight, which on most night’s might hurt his value, but tonight actually helps his case, as Boogie and Davis will be occupied with keeping Embiid in check. Though listed as a power forward, Simmons is more of a new generational “point forward”, and New Orleans has no one that can match both Simmons’ size AND speed, so he will basically have free run of the court all night. The likelihood that Philly will be playing without Robert Covington just adds to Simmons’ appeal. This game has the highest projection from our friends in Vegas by nearly 15 points and features two of the fastest offenses in the game. Simmons will be the play of the night, and I for one will have him locked in for all formats.

Jeff TeagueJeff Teague FD – $7000 DK – $6500
Opponent – DAL
Proj Pts FD – 34.67 DK – 34.9
Simmons has fallen out of “every lineup” territory since my early post, and is now appearing in just over half of the top lines put out by our optimizer, I’m leaving him here as I feel he is still the best way to pay up in cash games tonight. Now showing up everywhere as we draw closer to lock we have Jeff Teague of the Timberwolves. Teague comes to us much cheaper than Simmons, and plays the Mavericks who are the second worst team at defending the point in the game, behind only the Pelicans and will be without Dennis Smith Jr. tonight. Teague returned from a four game absence due to an achilles injury and hasn’t missed a beat. Since rejoining the rotation, he’s averaging 34.5 minutes per game and outside of a tough game against a Grizzlies team that are the stingiest defense in the game at the position, He’s consistently paying value at these prices. Teague may not have tournament upside, but he, along with Simmons, is an excellent way to go in cash on this three game micro main slate.

This post originally appeared on DFSR.com

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Daily Fantasy NBA Picks from DFSR for 12/9/17

Daily Fantasy NBA Picks from DFSR for 12/9/17

There are ten games in the association today, beginning with an early afternoon set between the Wizards and Clippers, followed by a 6PM tipoff between the Heat and Nets. We’re going to shift all of our focus to the eight game main slate which tips at 7ET when the Lakers head into Charlotte. It was a busy Friday night, and we have a lot to consider when looking at our top plays, so let’s not waste any more time, and get right to the picks…

Point guard

Russell WestbrookRussell Westbrook FD – $10800 DK – $11000
Opponent – MEM
Proj Pts FD – 54.65 DK – 58.3
We start off at the point with a guy named Russell Westbrook. Perhaps you’ve heard of him? Just your basic, ordinary, run of the mill double double machine with triple double upside on any given night, that runs the boards 35-40 minutes per game, and is an ever present threat to put up 75 fantasy points at any time. Now of course, that’s the upside, but the floor alone is plenty attractive. Westbrook averages about 50 fantasy points per night, and has cracked 60 three times in his last seven games. The matchup isn’t ideal, Memphis is a bear (pun intended) for opposing point guards allowing the fewest average fantasy points per game, but that just leads me to fade Russ in tournaments, for cash purposes the man is essentially matchup proof, particularly when priced at $11K or less. There was some chatter about a hip contusion and an illness on Thursday night, but he isn’t showing up on the injury report, so I think it’s safe to say Russ is a go, and is a great way to pay up in cash games.

Ricky RubioRicky Rubio FD – $4900 DK – $5000
Opponent – MIL
Proj Pts FD – 28.54 DK – 28.85
It’s tough to be Ricky Rubio right now. Rookie Donovan Mitchell seems to be leading the offensive show in Utah, and Rubio’s stuck in a place that just doesn’t work to his skill set. His field goal percentage is down from last year, and he’s seeing career lows in rebounds and assists per game. It’s not all gloom and doom however, as this has led us to the point where we are getting Rubio at a bargain price. He’s at a season low across the industry, and despite a rough start to December, where he’s averaged 5.5 points, 4 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game, he has shown the ability to crush value at these prices. Along with the prices dropping, the minutes appear to be on the rise. He’s played 34 and 30 minutes against the Thunder and the Rockets respectively in his last two games, and we have to think a seasoned vet like Rubio is going to put it together quickly and bounce back to form, and what better time than against Eric Bledsoe and a Bucks defense that is none too intimidating at the point. There’s some risk here, but for the price, I’m willing to ride with Rubio.

Chris PaulChris Paul FD – $8700 DK – $7900
Opponent – POR
Proj Pts FD – 42.99 DK – 44.54
It took a little longer than anticipated to find out how well Chris Paul was going to mesh with James Harden and the Rockets after being dealt this off season, but we now have an answer, and that answer is exceptionally well. Paul is fitting himself in to his new surroundings after injuring his knee on opening night against the Warriors and missing the first month of the season. Since his return to the court on November 16th CP3 has delivered for both the Rockets, who are undefeated with Paul on the court, and for those of us who roster him in DFS. He’s shown 60 fantasy point upside, while coming just a rebound shy of posting his first triple double of the season against the Jazz on Thursday in a game in which he saw a season high 36 minutes. It seems the Rockets are ready to finally unleash Paul and push him to the limit, which should lead to many more games such as the one he had in Utah. He’ll next face the Trailblazers in the game with the second highest projection of the evening. Damian Lillard’s a solid defender, but he may be preoccupied with trying to contain James Harden, and CP3 is one of the best point guards in the game, so he won’t be easily shut down. Paul’s an excellent cash game play, plus a nice pivot off of Westbrook in tournaments.

Shooting Guard

Kent BazemoreKent Bazemore FD – $5400 DK – $5200
Opponent – ORL
Proj Pts FD – 30.46 DK – 30.24
If you want to pay up at shooting guard the only option is James Harden in a tough matchup with the Blazers, for significantly more than what you’ll pay for Russell Westbrook, so lets dip down to some mid-tiered plays instead shall we? Starting out we have Kent Bazemore and the Hawks hosting the Magic. Bazemore is anything but safe, but like Ricky Rubio above, the price is key here. While not a season low, we’re getting Bazemore at a reduced price, in a nice matchup against a hurting Magic team that are still without Evan Fournier, Terrence Ross, and…I’m just now seeing an alert that Aaron Gordon suffered a concussion last night against the Nuggets. Orlando is hurting, and they’re an average defense when healthy. Bazemore posted a 4/6/7 line with a steal against the Magic just three nights ago in 36 minutes, and came just shy of value. Bazemore can be very boom or bust, but all the elements are in place for him to have a boom kind of night tonight, and I’m buying in.

J.J. RedickJ.J. Redick FD – $5400 DK – $5100
Opponent – CLE
Proj Pts FD – 27.57 DK – 29.17
If rostering Bazemore makes you a little queasy, then maybe consider J.J. Redick at the same price point. Redick is settling into his role in the Philadelphia line very well, seeing at least 30, and upwards of 37 minutes in all but two games this season with the Sixers. Redick has scored at least 15 points in four straight games, and hits his stride when he’s mixing in some peripherals to boot. He’s shooting 43.6% from the field and 39% from three point land, which is right on pace with his career totals, and travels into Cleveland tonight to take on a Cavaliers team that is among the most generous to opposing two-guards in the game. The Cavs come into the game a mere five point favorite and this game has the highest projected point total of the evening. If we’re picking our poison, I’d say go Redick in cash and Bazemore in tournaments, but I’m fine with both in all formats.

Kentavious Caldwell-PopeKentavious Caldwell-Pope FD – $5900 DK – $5500
Opponent – CHA
Proj Pts FD – 29.67 DK – 30
This final play is a tad more expensive than those other two guys, but is also the safest of the bunch. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been red hot lately for the Lakers, who are perfectly fine with giving him all the run his legs can handle. He’s averaging 35 minutes per game over his past seven contests, and has flashed 8X PPD upside at these prices twice in that span. The Lakers play the fastest game in the league right now, so any opponent is going to slow their game down, but Charlotte plays a decent pace as well, and these two teams combine for a 103.2 pace factor which is none too shabby. Not to mention the fact that Charlotte is just awful at defending the position. KCP is my safe play at the position and leaves plenty of wiggle room at other positions.

Small forward

Robert CovingtonRobert Covington FD – $6900 DK – $6000
Opponent – CLE
Proj Pts FD – 36.46 DK – 36.18
Similar to shooting guard, we’re going to look past the studs, who aren’t projecting as high in the system, and talk about some cheaper value plays. LeBron and Giannis can be considered of course, LeBron moreso as the Bucks are in a low scoring contest with a Jazz team that plays a slow game. James meanwhile is in a fast paced, high scoring contest with the Sixers. Speaking of the Sixers, our first play at the position is their own Robert Covington. RoCo went through a bit of a funk for a while there, including his worst game of the season against these Cavaliers, but he seems to be returning to form scoring in double digits in four straight games, and paying over 6X PPD in two of those while averaging 34.5 minutes per game. The primary reason we chose Covington over LeBron in this spot is the matchup. The Sixers are a top ten defensive matchup against the small forward position, while the Cavs allow the fourth most fantasy points to the position. There’s plenty of fantasy goodness in this game, and Covington is one of the best plays of the night.

Rudy GayRudy Gay FD – $5500 DK – $5800
Opponent – PHO
Proj Pts FD – 33.62 DK – 33.42
Kawhi Leonard seems to be nearing a return, possibly Tuesday? For now however he remains out and is joined by Kyle Anderson which means Rudy Gay should draw another start at the three for San Antonio. Gay has started two straight games for the Spurs and put up solid numbers in each, with a double double and two blocks in 31 minutes against the Pistons followed by a 16/7/3 line with 3 steals against the Heat. The Spurs are in Phoenix tonight, against a Suns team that are not only one of the poorest defenses in the game, but their breakneck pace of play will force the ultra conservative Spurs to speed things up. I don’t know that we’ve seen Gay’s ceiling as a starter just yet, and it could shatter tonight. Rudy Gay has the highest points per dollar projection in our system today, and I will not be at all surprised if he’s an every lineup guy by the time lineups lock tonight.

Jonathon SimmonsJonathon Simmons FD – $6100 DK – $5700
Opponent – ATL
Proj Pts FD – 34.36 DK – 34.7
We wrote up Jonathon Simmons in the picks yesterday, and he fell a little short paying just 4X PPD against the Nuggets. Today he sees an even better defensive matchup against the Hawks who are allowing the sixth most fantasy points to opposing small forwards. We originally chose this pick early on Friday night, but it has become even more enticing now that the Magic will be without Aaron Gordon, who suffered a concussion in last night’s tilt with Denver. Simmons has proven himself to be a solid scorer, sinking double digit points in five straight games now, while seeing an insane amount of court time, as much as 40 minutes a game. With all of the injuries they’re dealing with, the Magic will be loaded with value tonight, This is an excellent game for stacking and Simmons should be a key part of any game stack, with the safety and upside needed to be considered in all formats.

Consider LeBron James and Giannis Antetokounmpo

Power forward

Derrick FavorsDerrick Favors FD – $5200 DK – $5700
Opponent – MIL
Proj Pts FD – 28.21 DK – 27.4
Look out for falling prices!! Rudy Gobert has been back for three games now, and Derrick Favors has seen his price plummet, particularly on FanDuel, where he’s down $2200 compared to the game against the Pelicans where he made his final start at center. Now back at the four, playing ten fewer minutes per game, and sharing the time he does get with Gobert, Favors is a true fire sale play, and is as safe now as he was when Gobert was sidelined thanks to the price correction. Not to mention there’s not a lot to love at the four to begin with tonight. You can pay up for Ben Simmons, who will likely see more run with no Joel Embiid, but that means LeBron, and Love will focus all of their attention on him. The best course of action would seem to be go cheap at the four, and Favors is an excellent way of doing just that.

LaMarcus AldridgeLaMarcus Aldridge FD – $8200 DK – $8400
Opponent – PHO
Proj Pts FD – 43.29 DK – 42.78
Paying up at power forward tonight for me will mean going with LaMarcus Aldridge. LMA has seen his cost come down some after flirting with near season high pricing earlier this month. Aldridge was quiet against the Heat on Wednesday night, pairing four boards with 18 points and a block. This is uncharacteristic for the big man who flirts with double doubles on a near nightly basis and has posted nine already this season. His chance at redemption comes tonight against the Suns, who are not only the worst defense at the position, but over their last five games are allowing an insane 70 FD points to opposing power forwards, allowing 30 points and 15.6 rebounds per game in that stretch. Pair that with the Suns lightning fast pace of play and all signs point to a big night for Aldridge who should be a lock for 5X and could push for 6X if the Suns keep it competitive.

Carmelo AnthonyCarmelo Anthony FD – $6800 DK – $6600
Opponent – MEM
Proj Pts FD – 37.81 DK – 38.83
I like this play much more if Paul George remains out once again for the Thunder’s game in Memphis tonight. With no George the Thunder need Carmelo Anthony to step up and take some slack off of Russell Westbrook. He attempted to do just that in the last game against the Nets with PG out, but had a hard time getting his shot to fall, sinking just 5 of 20, fortunately he did enough in the glass to make up the difference, his 11 boards allowed some relief from what could have been an ugly night on the fantasy scoreboard. The Grizzlies may not be the defensive punching bag the Nets are, but they’re certainly not a shut down type of defense either, so Melo will have a chance to make up for what has been some poor shooting as of late. Again, if Paul George is cleared to play, I don’t like this as much, though he could be a sneaky GPP play, but no PG means Melo is in play everywhere.

Consider Marvin Williams.

Center

Nikola VucevicNikola Vucevic FD – $8500 DK – $8300
Opponent – ATL
Proj Pts FD – 44.22 DK – 45.24
So, once again, we had this play all picked out early on Friday night, but now it seems to be all the more important as Aaron Gordon suffered a concussion last night, which means the Magic’s big man will have to step up his already solid game. What was initially an excellent play becomes phenomenal play, and I’m sure Nikola Vucevic will be extremely high owned tonight, in every format. Vucevic paired 21 points against the Nuggets on Friday night with a season high 17 rebounds, eclipsing the season high 16 he snagged on Wednesday, giving him 33 boards in two games. Last night was also the third time in four games that Vucevic managed to pay 6.5X PPD. The dominance should continue tonight in Atlanta against a Hawks team that are without their top two front court players and allow the third most fantasy points to opposing bigs. There is so much in Vucevic’s favor right now it’s hard to justify anyone else at center.

Dwight HowardDwight Howard FD – $7800 DK – $7600
Opponent – LAL
Proj Pts FD – 38.49 DK – 40.19
Yet, you say you want options, pivots, contrarian plays! The Vucevic chalk is too vanilla for you, you just have to be different you wild person! Well, then I present to you Dwight Howard. Howard lit the Bulls up last night to the tune of 9X PPD scoring 25 points and 20 boards in 43 minutes of play. That may be the only knock on Howard, if you fear the Hornets cut the minutes back after last night’s workload. Even if he sees just 30 minutes Howard is priced at a point where he can easily hit value especially against a Lakers team allowing the second most fantasy points at the center position over their last 10 games. This game has a decent projection of 213.5 points and the Hornets are only 5.5 point favorites, so Charlotte may need to test Howard’s legs and see if they can’t stretch him to the limit. Howard’s not going to put up 70 fantasy points every night, he probably won’t tonight, but 40 is more than enough to ask, while 50 is certainly not out of the question. As a GPP pivot off of Vucevic, you can do much worse than Dwight Howard.

Consider Greg Monroe if Alex Len and Tyson Chandler are both ruled out.

This post originally appeared on DFSR.com

Daily Fantasy NBA News and Injury Updates from DFSR for 12/9/17

Daily Fantasy NBA News and Injury Updates from DFSR for 12/9/17

What We Know

Joel EmbiidJoel Embiid will rest against the Cavaliers in the first game of a back to back.
Embiid will take his standard rest day during a Sixers back to back set on the opening end as the Sixers head to Cleveland tonight. In addition to Embiid, T.J. McConnell, who returned from a three game absence to play the Lakers on Thursday night, aggravated the same shoulder that kept him out for those games and will miss once again tonight. The two may be joined on the bench by Dario Saric who is looking unlikely to play a second straight game. Amir Johnson could see extended run again and we may get our first look at Trevor Booker in a Sixers uniform. Jerryd Bayless will see the most benefit from McConnells absence.

Aaron GordonAaron Gordon suffered a concussion last night against the Nuggets, joining a long list of injured Magic.
Gordon joins Terrence Ross, and Evan Fournier among the inactive Orlando players after suffering a concussion last night. He will join Fournier, who missed last night’s game with a sprained ankle, and has no current timetable for return, and Ross who has missed several games with a hyperextended knee. In addition, we are waiting on word for D.J. Augustin who is questionable after injuring his quad last night. As we noted in the picks article, Nikola Vucevic, and Jonathon Simmons will provide tremendous value tonight for the depleted Orlando team. If Augustin is unable to go, then add Shelvin Mack to the list of Orlando value plays as well.

Jeremy LambJeremy Lamb left last night’s game with a shin contusion. He has been ruled out while Nicolas Batum is listed as questionable.
Batum is experiencing soreness in the elbow that kept him sidelined through the first 12 games of the season, He’s considered a game time decision and may likely be held out as a precaution tonight as the Hornets host the Lakers. If held out, he will join Lamb on the bench, who injured his shin in last night’s contest. Dwayne Bacon and Malik Monk would be the beneficiaries if both are unable to play tonight.

Jusuf NurkicJusuf Nurkic will sit out tonight’s game against Houston with a sore ankle.
Nurkic sprained his ankle Tuesday against the Wizards, and is still feeling it, so the Blazers are holding him out tonight as they host Houston. Ed Davis will likely draw the start and becomes an interesting play in Nurkics place.

Pau GasolPau Gasol, Tony Parker, and Manu Ginobili will be rested tonight against the Suns.
Gasol, Parker, and Ginobili will all sit out tonight’s game against the Suns for rest. They join Kyle Anderson, Kawhi Leonard among the inactive Spurs, and leave a hefty workload for the remaining players in a sweet matchup against the defensively lacking Suns team. Dejounte Murray, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge, and Rudy Gay all become prime options in a pace up game packed with fantasy value.

Rodney HoodRodney Hood has been ruled out for the Jazz tonight.
No surprise, Hood will miss his seventh straight game tonight nursing his left ankle. Alec Burks and Donovan Mitchell will continue to see the benefit of Hoods absence.

Chandler ParsonsChandler Parsons will rest on the tail end of the Memphis back to back set.
Parsons saw 25 minutes last night against the Raptors, so the Grizzlies will rest him tonight so as not to overwork his knee. Dillon Brooks, James Ennis, and Ben McLemore all stand to see added time on the court in his absence.

Tyson ChandlerTyson Chandler and Alex Len are both available for the Suns.
I noted in the picks article that Greg Monroe was in consideration at center tonight if these two were ruled out, but both are available making all three undesirable from a fantasy perspective.

What We’re Waiting to Know

Paul GeorgePaul George is questionable for the Thunder after missing Thursday’s game.
George missed Thursday night’s game against Brooklyn with a calf bruise which seems to still be a problem for the Thunders small forward, leaving his status for tonight up in the air. Alex Abrines drew the start in his place on Thursday, but the real impact here is on Carmelo Anthony who is a much more attractive play if George misses a second straight game.

Every Lineup Guys

Rudy GayRudy Gay FD – $5500 DK – $5800
Opponent – PHO
Proj Pts FD – 33.62 DK – 33.42
Dejounte MurrayDejounte Murray FD – $3600 DK – $3900
Opponent – PHO
Proj Pts FD – 29.63 DK – 30.53
We have a pair of Spurs leading our top lineups tonight. Pau Gasol, Tony Parker, and Manu Ginobili are being rested on the tail end of the San Antonio back to back set as they travel to Phoenix after hosting the Celtics at home last night. The Spurs go into the game extremely shorthanded. I wrote up Rudy Gay in the picks article, and predicted he would be an every lineup guy, and here we are. Kawhi Leonard has missed the start to the season, and Kyle Anderson is out for at least 2-3 weeks with a sprained MCL in his knee, which keeps Gay the starting small forward for a fourth straight game. In the first three starts he’s averaging 31 minutes and 33 fantasy points per, and tonight has a chance to crush value against a Suns team that doesn’t play defense. Then there’s Dejounte Murray. With word that the Spurs are resting Parker, Murray will be the likely candidate to step into the starting point guard spot, following a stellar performance against the Thunder on Sunday when he started for a resting Parker. Murray ended that game with a 17/11/5/1/3 line in 39 minutes and paid a staggering 12X PPD. Phoenix loves to run the boards and will force the Spurs to speed up their conservative game, this game doesn’t have a ridiculous projected total, sitting at just 206.5 but when you think of the minutes these guys stand to see, the sky is the limit when looking at their ceiling.

This post originally appeared on DFSR.com


Daily Fantasy NBA News and Injury Updates from DFSR for 12/8/17

What We Know

Evan FournierEvan Fournier is out with a sprained right ankle.
Fournier will miss at the very least tonight’s game against the Nuggets, and tomorrow in Atlanta with a sprained ankle suffered on Wednesday against the Hawks. Aaron Afflalo will likely draw the start in fournier’s place, and should see a significant number of minutes as well.

Marcus MorrisMarcus Morris and Jaylen Brown expect to play tonight in San Antonio.
Although the word is both expect to play, Morris is being called a game-time decision after missing wednesdays game with a knee issue and originally being listed as questionable for tonight. Brown meanwhile will likely play with protective goggles after missing the last game with an inflamed right eye. Even if Morris plays, look for Aaron Baynes to remain in the starting rotation against the Spurs front court, while the return of Brown will send Marcus Smart back to a reserve role.

Andre IguodalaAndre Iguodala and Draymond Green are both probable.
Iguodala played through knee pain on wednesday, while Green was sidelined with a shoulder injury. Green will see how things feel following shoot around, though word is he expects to be good to go tonight in Detroit. Iguodala meanwhile should be expected to continue playing through the knee issue as long as it doesn’t worsen. If that is the case he stands to see a significant bump in usage with Steph Curry out for at least a couple of weeks with an ankle sprain. Zaza Pachulia is also out for the Dubs, but as long as Dray is back in the rotation, I’d expect to see him eat a sizable chunk of those minutes.

Frank KaminskyFrank Kaminsky and Cody Zeller are each out for the Hornets.
Zeller has been ruled out indefinitely with a medial meniscus tear in his knee and will be joined on the injury report tonight by Frank The Tank, who suffered a sprained ankle six minutes into Wednesday’s tilt with the Warriors. This should lead to a windfall of minutes for Marvin Williams who will likely draw the start at power forward for the hurting Hornets.

Willie Cauley-SteinWillie Cauley-Stein did not travel to New Orleans.
WCS strained his lower back against the Bucks last weekend and did not travel with the Kings on their road trip to Cleveland earlier this week, and New Orleans tonight. This will likely mean more of Jakarr Sampson and the suddenly Zach Randolph once again tonight.

What We’re Waiting to Know

Anthony DavisAnthony Davis is questionable for the Pelicans.
The glass brow has missed three straight contests with a groin strain, and though it is encouraging that he wasn’t immediately ruled out tonight, we still have to wait on word following shoot around to see if he is ready to return to the court. Dante Cunningham has started the last three games in Davis’ place, and would likely do so yet again if Davis misses number four tonight.

Dennis Smith Jr.Dennis Smith Jr. is listed as questionable for the Mavericks tonight in Milwaukee.
Smith is designated as questionable after sitting out Thursday’s practice with a hip strain. If Smith feels he is unable to go following the teams shoot around, then expect to see yogi Ferrell and J.J. Barea absorb the bulk of Smith’s minutes.

Tyreke EvansTyreke Evans is questionable tonight.
Coming out of nowhere, we get word that Evans is dealing with hip soreness and is questionable for tonight’s tilt with the Raptors. While Evans will likely be a game-time decision, if he does in fact sit this one out, Mario Chalmers should draw the starting nod in his place.

Myles TurnerMyles Turner and Cory Joseph are each listed as questionable for tonight’s game against the Cavaliers.
Turner is dealing with soreness in his calf and the Pacers have designated him as questionable for tonight’s game against the Cavaliers. Joseph is also listed as questionable with a sore shoulder once again after carrying the designation going into Wednesday’s game against the Bulls, though he did wind up playing 31 minutes that night. If he’s unable to go Lance Stephenson will see a slight bump but nothing to get excited over. Turner’s injury doesn’t seem to be anything too serious, but we will have to wait for more word to come down following the teams shoot around, in the meantime keep Domantas Sabonis and Al Jefferson in mind as beneficiaries of Turners 30 or so minutes.

Every Lineup Guys

Jakarr SampsonJakarr Sampson FD – $4200 DK – $3400
Opponent – NO
Proj Pts FD – 18.78 DK – 18.9
Zach RandolphZach Randolph FD – $6700 DK – $5900
Opponent – NO
Proj Pts FD – 30.49 DK – 31.12
The system is feeling Sac-town tonight as two of the Kings are appearing in all of our top lineups. The Kings head to New Orleans to play a Pelicans team that will most likely not have Anthony Davis back in the front court, in a game with a modest 210 point projection and an 8.5 point spread. Sacramento is without Willie Cauley-Stein once again, the big guy isn’t even with the team on this road trip, and on Wednesday in Cleveland JaKarr Sampson, drawing his first start of the season, and Zach Randolph saw 32 and 31 minutes respectively, and paid solid fantasy value. The sites quickly took notice of the situation, particularly FanDuel where Sampson is priced $700 higher than he was on Wednesday, though he still remains a solid value play on both sites, and appears in the top lineups for both in our optimizer. Z-Bo on the other hand only appears in the top lineups on DraftKings, where he is still underpriced for the minutes and usage he has been seeing lately. In his last three games he has paid 8X, 5.6X, and 8X DKPPD at this current price, and though he’s not showing up in the top FanDuel lineups right now, that doesn’t mean he’s a fade there either. The Pelicans play a much faster game than the Kings normally do, and both of these guys are solid cash plays with plenty of upside as well, especially, though not only, on DraftKings.

This post originally appeared on DFSR.com

Daily Fantasy NBA Picks from DFSR for 12/5/17

Point guard

Russell WestbrookRussell Westbrook FD – $10700 DK – $11000
Opponent – UTA
Proj Pts FD – 50.69 DK – 52.39
We’ve only got three games to choose from tonight when looking at our top fantasy plays, and there is jut one way to go to spend up, and that is Russell Westbrook. If you’re on DraftKings, FanDuel or both, Russ stands alone as the sole $10K+ play on the day, and while he may not be universally owned, I can see a case for fading him in very large GPP’s, he will be a popular cash option and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him over 50% owned in double ups particularly on FanDuel where he’ll only eat up 18% of your overall salary. Russ seems to be gaining momentum on the push back to the Westbrook of old, posting four double doubles and three triple doubles in his last seven contests, and paying over 6X points per dollar in four of those games at this salary. Ricky Rubio’s a solid defender, and the Jazz as a team are one of the toughest opposing matchups for the point guard position, but this is Russell Westbrook, and it’s a slim pickin’s type of slate.

Kyle LowryKyle Lowry FD – $8500 DK – $8700
Opponent – PHO
Proj Pts FD – 41.87 DK – 43.79
in regards to just how slim the pickin’s are tonight, it’s going to be tough to get out of the point without spending some cash, which leads to the case for fading Westbrook. Our next two plays reside right at the top of the heap with Russ, but don’t require quite as much salary commitment. They also each project for better PPD return. First we have Toronto Raptors Kyle Lowry, hosting the Phoenix Suns. That’s the selling point here, is the matchup. The Suns don’t play defense, they allow extreme fantasy production at every position and point guard is no exception. In just their last five games heading into last night’s game in Philadelphia, the Suns are allowing 62 FanDuel points to opposing point guards. This game has a combined pace of 102.8 and sports a 224.5 projection with the Raptors favored by 13.5, though with only three games we can’t be as particular on blowout concern as we might be on a fuller slate. Lowry is coming off of one of his worst performances of the season against Indiana on Friday night, and should be ready for a nice bounce back showing this evening.

Damian LillardDamian Lillard FD – $9100 DK – $9400
Opponent – WAS
Proj Pts FD – 44.21 DK – 46.12
Sandwiched in between Westbrook and Lowry is Damian Lillard. Lillard and the Trailblazers will host the Wizards tonight, who come in on the tail end of a back to back, and are still without John Wall. Advantage: Lillard. Tim Frazier is no John Wall, and Damian Lillard should be free to drop buckets all night long. Even if Bradley Beal slides over for a bit, he won’t be able to cover Lillard all night. Damian should see his full allotment of minutes in this one, which has been an average of 38 over his last six games, five of which Lillard shot 29 points or better in. If he continues scoring like he has been down this stretch, it’s only a matter of time before we see Lillard back in the $10K club, so now is the perfect time to get in while the price is depressed.

Shooting Guard

Bradley BealBradley Beal FD – $7600 DK – $7600
Opponent – POR
Proj Pts FD – 38.56 DK – 40.07
The narrative was with John Wall going down, Bradley Beal was going to step up and be the man in Washington. Thing’s haven’t quite worked out that way though, as Beal has struggled a bit in the four games without Wall. In the first game he dropped 26 points in 35 minutes and paid over 6X PPD at his current price, and that game coincidentally was against these same Trailblazers. Since then it’s been a bit of a roller coaster, though he did take a elbow to the face against the Sixers, and attempted to wear a mask for protection a couple night’s later against Detroit which may have hindered his performance more than it helped. Regardless, Beal has seen a steady run of minutes and usage with Wall out of the way, and it’s a matter of time before he starts scoring 20+ on the regular again. These two teams run a similar pace, which is league average, but with just a 5.5 point spread, there’s no reason to think Beal doesn’t see 35 minutes at the least in this one which gives him plenty of time to find his shot.

Devin BookerDevin Booker FD – $7100 DK – $8000
Opponent – TOR
Proj Pts FD – 36.5 DK – 37.93
DeMar DeRozanDeMar DeRozan FD – $8700 DK – $8500
Opponent – PHO
Proj Pts FD – 41.48 DK – 41.58
These two plays face-off with each other in Toronto, and will spend much of the night on each other. First we have DeMar DeRozan. Double D has bounced back nicely after leaving mid-game against the Hawks last Saturday with a knee ailment, which was clearly bothering him for some time, as he struggled mightily in the games leading into that contest. He has since returned to his old self and in his two games back following his early departure he’s averaging 28 points, 4.5 boards, 5.5 dimes, .5 block and a steal per game in 34 minutes. He’ll have the good fortune of going up against Devin Booker tonight who doesn’t have a defensive game at all. On the offensive end however Booker is a scoring machine averaging 31 points in 33 minutes per game since sitting out last Sunday with an inflamed toe. Booker has flashed 7X upside twice in the past week, and both of these guys paired together make a compelling piece to a game stack, with significant risk, but potentially great reward.

Small forward

T.J. WarrenT.J. Warren FD – $6800 DK – $6400
Opponent – TOR
Proj Pts FD – 34.63 DK – 33.78
The Suns are on their third game in four days, but don’t expect that to slow them down any. Phoenix plays the fastest game in basketball, and play a Toronto team that isn’t shy when it comes to running the boards either. This should open up a lot of opportunity for T.J. Warren, who flirts with 20 points on a nightly basis and has no trouble filling the stat sheet either. Warren was shut down in Detroit last Wednesday, but that game not withstanding, he has scored at least 18 and upwards of 27 in six of his last seven with 5.7 boards, a block, and 1.5 steals per game in that stretch, showing as much as 6.75X upside. The Raptors aren’t a pushover at the three, but aren’t a threat to shut anybody down either. If we’re spending up in our back court plays, Warren presents a reasonably priced way to start out our front court.

Otto PorterOtto Porter FD – $7000 DK – $6900
Opponent – POR
Proj Pts FD – 34.05 DK – 33.5
While we expected Bradley Beal to be the man with John Wall out, Otto Porter has stepped up nicely for the Wizards in the four games they have been without Wall. Starting with a stellar performance against the Trailblazers in which he double doubled with 24 points, 10 boards, to pair along with two assists, a block and three steals, he ended the night with a 7.25X PPD performance and has continued to stuff the stat sheet every game since. Tonight he meets up with the Blazers once again this time in Portland, and that last game was no fluke as the Blazers can’t defend against the three at all. Over their last five games they’re the weakest defense at the position and look to Porter to put together another monster 36 minute outing. It’s a fantastic spot for Porter, and I’ll have a ton of exposure in all formats.

Joe InglesJoe Ingles FD – $5000 DK – $4900
Opponent – OKC
Proj Pts FD – 23.73 DK – 24.49
Don’t look now, but here come the Jazz. Utah have put together a solid five game winning streak as I write this, (Monday night’s game has yet to start) including two massive blowouts. Joe Ingles has certainly contributed to the recent success, averaging 31 minutes per game and contributing points, rebounds, and assists, as well as picking up several steals in those contests. He’s been shooting the rock well, going 44.9% from the field and 46.8% from three. Value is tough to come by tonight, with just three games on the docket, and we can’t spend all the way up everywhere so Ingles presents a nice way to find safety and value even against a Thunder defense that has been particularly tough on opposing small forwards this season.

Power forward

Markieff MorrisMarkieff Morris FD – $4800 DK – $4700
Opponent – POR
Proj Pts FD – 25.54 DK – 25.63
As I was just saying we can’t spend up everywhere, and it appears most of our value will come at the four as the priciest option is only $7K. We’ll start things off though, with our cheapest play of the night, Markieff Morris. Not only is Morris our cheapest play we’re choosing to spotlight on tonights three game set, he also presents the highest PPD projection despite going against Al-Farouq Aminu, one of the toughest defenders at the position. Morris has been anything but reliable since returning from sports hernia surgery, but he did flash some life against the Pistons on Friday night when he scored a season high 23 points and paid nearly 9X PPD in just 27 minutes. To put some perspective, Morris scored more points Friday night than he did in the previous three games combined. It remains to be seen if this Morris is here for good, but on a short slate such as this, I’ll roll the dice on Markieff as my top value play of the night.

Serge IbakaSerge Ibaka FD – $5200 DK – $5000
Opponent – PHO
Proj Pts FD – 25.27 DK – 25.17
Serge Ibaka has struggled to score this season with the Raptors, but has come around recently scoring double digits in three of his last four outings, and capped it off with a three for four performance from beyond the arc Friday night against the Pacers scoring 15 points, a feat he accomplished only twice in November. In addition to the scoring coming around Ibaka has been putting up impressive defensive numbers all season long, averaging two blocks per game over the last five games, with two steals in that span. With the scoring starting to come around, paired with the defensive game, Ibaka is poised to become a solid fantasy threat and looks to continue building on Fridays performance tonight against the Suns who are nearly as bad at defending the PF position as the Pacers are. Ibaka has yet to flash much upside this season, but as a cash game play, he should definitely get you where you need to be.

Derrick FavorsDerrick Favors FD – $7000 DK – $6600
Opponent – OKC
Proj Pts FD – 31.2 DK – 30.19
Utah’s game against the Wizards is just getting underway as I write this, so I can’t say how things have gone with Rudy Gobert reclaiming his spot as the Jazz starting center, shifting Derrick Favors back to the power forward spot. We know going in that the minutes are being restricted though, and I wouldn’t be entirely surprised to see the team choose to rest Gobert on the tail end of the back to back tonight against the Thunder. Favors meanwhile has been phenomenal filling in at the five while Gobert was sidelined for 11 games with a bone bruise, capping his start at center off with two straight double doubles and 54 points scored in three games. He’s shown 7.5X upside more than once while subbing for Gobert, and as long as Favors can continue to see 30+ minutes per game, he will remain a solid play at this price point.

Center

Jusuf NurkicJusuf Nurkic FD – $7400 DK – $7200
Opponent – WAS
Proj Pts FD – 35.36 DK – 35.14
Until Rudy Gobert is back to full run and off any type of minutes restriction he remains out of play, which means tonight, spending up at center means Jusuf Nurkic. Center is a tough position to target tonight, as five of the six teams we have on the schedule rank among the 13 toughest teams at the position to target, and targeting Phoenix means locking Jonas Valanciunas who sees hardly any minutes. So we’re going to return to the game with the lowest projected total, but no blowout risk. First up is Nurkic who struggled mightily against Boogie Cousins on Saturday night, compiling five personal fouls and seeing just 24 minutes. Prior to that game Nurkic was consistently seeing 30-35 minutes per game, compiling three double doubles in five games. Nurkic has been dominant in the paint, is shooting 45.7%, with 7.7 rebounds and 1.2 blocks per game, if you have the salary to spend up at center, then Nurkic is the way to go.

Marcin GortatMarcin Gortat FD – $4700 DK – $5200
Opponent – POR
Proj Pts FD – 21.43 DK – 21.31
If you need to save however, then look across the court to the opposing bench and Marcin Gortat. Marcin is a riskier option than Nurkic, but for the price presents solid upside potential as the tradeoff, as evidenced by the 9X PPD he posted Friday night against the Pistons. It was his seventh double double of the season, with 12 points and boards, plus three assists and four steals. The Blazers are a top ten team at defending the five, but they do rank worse than Washington, and are allowing five more fantasy points per game to the position than the Wizards are over the last ten contests. Gortat struggled against Portland when these two teams met last week, but he’s also significantly cheaper now than he was then so the price is much more appealing this time around. If I had to choose I’d take Nurkic in my cash games, and reserve Gortat for my tournament lineups.

This post originally appeared on DFSR.com

Daily Fantasy NBA News and Injury Updates from DFSR for 12/3/17

What We Know

Stephen CurryStephen Curry and Kevin Durant are active for the Warriors, Andre Iguodala is out.
No surprise on Steph and KD, who played through their respective issues on Friday against the Thunder, and came into today with a probable designation. Iguodala will miss his second consecutive contest with a sore knee. Omri Caspi saw the benefit of Iggy’s absence on Friday, while in past instances that Iguodala has been unavailable Nick Young saw the bulk of the workload off of the bench, so proceed with caution here if looking for a punt play as you’ll be at the mercy of coach Kerr’s whim.

LaMarcus AldridgeThe Spurs will rest LaMarcus Aldridge, Rudy Gay, and Tony Parker today against the Thunder.
The Spurts have decided to give LMA the night off as they head into a back to back set, and are probably taking similar precaution with Gay who has been dealing with a sore right heel. Kyle Anderson should see a ton of minutes thrown his way in the depleted Spurs front court, while Joffrey Lauvergne will also benefit from the absence of Aldridge in today’s game in Oklahoma City. Parker meanwhile is still working his way back from injury and has had no fantasy relevance to this point. His absence today only means Dejounte Murray could potentially see a return to relevance.

Every Lineup Guys

Karl-Anthony TownsKarl-Anthony Towns FD – $9000 DK – $8300
Opponent – LAC
Proj Pts FD – 46.57 DK – 48.25
The theme of today is blowout risk, as we have four games scheduled tonight and three of them have a point spread of 10.5 or greater. It’s going to be impossible to avoid. Both of our every lineup plays today come from the same game, which sports a 12.5 point differential and is projected for a modest 213 total. First up is Minnesota Timberwolves big man Karl-Anthony Towns. Towns is seeing less usage this season than he has in the past, likely due to the addition of Jimmy Butler and Jeff Teague to the lineup. The plus side to this is we are getting a player that has shown a ceiling of 50 or more fantasy points on multiple occasions already this season carrying a price tag of $9K or less. KAT is seeing plenty of court time this season, averaging over 35 minutes per game in his last ten contests, and today will take on a Clippers team ranked among the top ten defenses to target at the center position. Cash games are going to be a tricky proposition on a slate like this, but Karl-Anthony provides some much needed safety at the five.

Lou WilliamsLou Williams FD – $8100 DK – $7000
Opponent – MIN
Proj Pts FD – 40.63 DK – 42.47
Sticking with this same game we have Lou Williams. The shot just wasn’t there for Sweet Lou last night as he only managed 18 points and six assists against the Mavericks. It was his worst performance since moving into the starters role four games ago, and certainly an outlier, as Williams has proven himself to be a capable starting guard after some solid performances off of the bench. He’s averaging eight more points per game as a starter and averaging 35.5 minutes per start. The Wolves allow a very attractive 26.3 points to opposing two-guards so Williams is in a great position to return to form tonight, since that’s where his bread is buttered.

This post originally appeared on DFSR.com

Daily Fantasy NBA News and Injury Updates from DFSR for 12/2/17

Daily Fantasy NBA News and Injury Updates from DFSR for 12/2/17

What We Know

Anthony DavisAnthony Davis is out against the after going down with a groin injury against the Jazz last night.
Davis was the top projected player in the initial run of our system last night prior to leaving the game in the fourth quarter, being helped to the locker room. Davis is set to undergo an MRI today and as anticipated he will sit out the game against the Blazers tonight. This of course adds much more appeal to Boogie Cousins, and Dante Cunningham who will likely draw the start in place of AD.

Nikola JokicNikola Jokic is likely to miss several games for the Nuggets, while Wilson Chandler remains questionable with back soreness.
Joker rolled his ankle against the Bulls on Thursdays night, and though the X-ray and MRI all came back negative the team expects him to be out of commission for several games. The injury plagued Nuggets may also be without Wilson Chandler who has missed two straight games with back soreness and is listed as questionable to play tonight. We covered a lot of this situation and the scenarios of who will benefit in out picks article, so you can find more detailed information there, and more on Kenneth Faried below.

Chandler ParsonsChandler Parsons is out with soreness in his knee and ankle tonight.
Parsons landed funny last night against the Spurs and will be rested tonight against the Cavaliers as a precaution. James Ennis is expected to see extra run in his place. Adding to the Grizzlies troubles is Marc Gasol being listed as questionable. If Gasol joins Parsons on the bench, Tyreke Evans becomes an elite play with a 7.7% boost in usage with Gasol, Parsons, and Mike Conley out of the game.

T.J. McConnellT.J. McConnell remains out for the Sixers.
McConnell suffered a sprained shoulder against the Wizards on Wednesday and subsequently missed the next night against Boston. The Sixers have ruled T.J. out today as they host the Pistons, which will mean more minutes for Jerryd Bayless but with Ben Simmons as the primary point guard, I would only look to Bayless as a punt in a deep GPP contest.

What We’re Waiting to Know

Kyle KuzmaKyle Kuzma has been upgraded to probable for the Lakers.
Kuzma was held out of the Wednesday night game against the Warriors with back spasms and was originally listed as questionable for the Lakers game in Denver. Kuz was a full participant in practice yesterday and was upgraded to probable earlier today. If Kuzma does remain sidelined, Julius Randle becomes a solid play as he has paid 5X or better in several games at his current salary in four of his last five and faces a depleted Nuggets front court tonight.

Every Lineup Guys

Damian LillardDamian Lillard FD – $8800 DK – $8900
Opponent – NO
Proj Pts FD – 46.12 DK – 48.07
We wrote up Damian Lillard last night as an excellent play as his price is down across the industry. Despite the depressed cost, Lillard has plenty of opportunity to crush value as he basically run the boards for the Blazers from start to finish, averaging 37 minutes per game, and he has flashed 7X upside already this season. The Pelicans are now without Anthony Davis, and this game currently sits at a seven point spread. Over the last ten games, New Orleans has been the second easiest target when locking in point guards, surrendering nearly 55 FanDuel points to the position in that stretch. Lillard comes at a great price in a great spot and is a solid play in all formats.

Kenneth FariedKenneth Faried FD – $5200 DK – $4800
Opponent – LAL
Proj Pts FD – 30.24 DK – 29.73
Also appearing in the top 25 lineups our system is putting out, is Denver Nuggets Kenneth Faried. When I was doing the picks last night, this was the one game that I had nothing from Vegas to go on with point projections, but now we know it sits at the top of the heap with an appealing 222.5 total and just a 4.5 point spread. This is an excellent game to target from both sides in tournaments, as the Nuggets are dealing with several injuries, and there is plenty of value to be had. Faried for example has benefitted from the loss of Paul Millsap, and now will see added usage with no Nikola Jokic. He’ll be paired with a Lakers front court allowing opposing PF’s to jam the stat sheet till it bursts with 22.6 points, 17 rebounds, and and 5.6 assists per game allowed in the past five contests. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Faried eclipse the thirty minute mark tonight and if he does that, he should more than crush value. Even if he doesn’t get to the thirty mark he’s a lock for cash formats, but I’ll have him in GPP’s as well banking on that half hour or better.

This post originally appeared on DFSR.com